Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Luca Nardi		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.54	1.53
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.37)	1.53 (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
38.8%

Kei Nishikori
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Luca Nardi - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Nishikori will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 67. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 76.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Nishikori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nishikori will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Cameron Norrie - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.25	Luca Nardi - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Luca Nardi - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Luca Nardi - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marton Fucsovics - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Jaume Munar - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.02.25	Kei Nishikori - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.25	Kei Nishikori - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Kei Nishikori - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Luca Nardi	2:1

Luca Nardi - Kei Nishikori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide