Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Luca Nardi		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.69	1.53
	2.59	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.61	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.34)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
36.4%

Zizou Bergs
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Zizou Bergs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Luca Nardi - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Users Predictions: Zizou Bergs will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 79. Bergs is ranked ATP: 56.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Bergs could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bergs will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nardi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Luca Nardi - Marton Fucsovics	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marton Fucsovics - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Lloyd Harris - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWLW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP Dubai
24.02.25	Aziz Dougaz - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
15.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Zizou Bergs - Zhizhen Zhang	Zhang Z. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Zizou Bergs - Luca Nardi	2:0
ATP Challenger
04.09.22	Zizou Bergs - Luca Nardi	1:2

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