Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday


	Luca Nardi		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.41	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.58
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	1.86	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.86)	1.61 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
40.8%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Nardi's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Nardi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Tirante will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tirante: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tirante (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Tirante (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tirante (votes: 9 - 69.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 97. Tirante is ranked ATP: 130.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tirante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tirante will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nardi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Luca Nardi - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Luca Nardi - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Luca Nardi	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	Luca Nardi - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Luca Nardi - George Loffhagen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLL?
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	James Kent Trotter - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Jaime Faria - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Harold Mayot - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
22.08.23	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2

Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide