Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KOBE (JAPAN), HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	Luca Nardi		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.58	2.25
	1.64	2.35
	1.65	2.35
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.63)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
58.1%

Sho Shimabukuro
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Luca Nardi - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Shimabukuro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shimabukuro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nardi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Nardi to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Marc Polmans - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	August Holmgren - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
14.11.23	Taisei Ichikawa - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Taro Daniel - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Luca Nardi - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
15.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Luca Nardi - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide