Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KOBE (JAPAN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	August Holmgren		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.3
	3.3	1.3
	3.43	1.33
	3.43	1.33
	3.25	1.33
	3.3	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.24)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
28.3%

Luca Nardi
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

August Holmgren - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Nardi will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holmgren: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nardi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Holmgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nardi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nardi to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
13.11.23	August Holmgren - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Yusuke Takahashi - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	August Holmgren - Omni Kumar	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Taro Daniel - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Duje Ajdukovic - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
14.11.23	Taisei Ichikawa - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Taro Daniel - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Luca Nardi - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	James McCabe - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

August Holmgren - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide