Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Luca Potenza		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.26	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.64
	1.64	2.17	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
44.1%

Calvin Hemery
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Luca Potenza - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 479. Hemery is ranked ATP: 185.

Potenza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hemery has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hemery could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Potenza - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Norbert Gombos - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Koray Kirci - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Luca Potenza - Arda Azkara	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Luca Potenza - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Blaise Bicknell - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL
- Calvin Hemery
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Mert Naci Turker - Calvin Hemery	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Peter Makk - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Calvin Hemery	Hemery C. retired ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Calvin Hemery - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WW?LL

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