Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Miguel Tobon		Calvin Hemery

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	4.75	1.15
	5.4	1.12	Watch
	4.97	1.16	Watch
	4.75	1.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (3.76)	1.15 ↓ (1.26)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miguel Tobon
18.8%

Calvin Hemery
81.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

74.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miguel Tobon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miguel Tobon's form might have worsened.

Calvin Hemery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calvin Hemery's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Miguel Tobon - Calvin Hemery Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tobon will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Hemery will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tobon: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miguel Tobon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tobon is ranked ATP: 682. Hemery is ranked ATP: 185.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Tobon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hemery is the obvious favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miguel Tobon
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Arthur Fery - Miguel Tobon	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Miguel Tobon - Karue Sell	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Miguel Tobon	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.07.25	Miguel Tobon - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWL?L
- Calvin Hemery
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Calvin Hemery - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Jakub Paul - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Denis Yevseyev - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Jerome Kym - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

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