Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Luca Potenza		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.96	1.83
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.8)	1.77 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Potenza
47.6%

Lorenzo Carboni
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Potenza will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Carboni will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carboni: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Potenza (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Carboni will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Potenza (votes: 1 - 20%). Carboni (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Potenza is ranked ATP: 428. Carboni is ranked ATP: 443.

In recent matches, Carboni has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Potenza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Potenza - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.13%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Potenza
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Luca Potenza - Jan Jermar	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Dylan Dietrich - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Filippo Romano - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Jiri Vesely - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
10.12.25	Luca Potenza - Gabriel Ghetu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Stephanos Schinas - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Manish Sureshkumar	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Lorenzo Carboni - S D Prajwal Dev	Dev S D P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.03.23	Lorenzo Carboni - Luca Potenza	2:1

Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide