Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quimper 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Luca Van Assche		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.55	2.25
	1.71	2.21
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.69	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.91)	2.14 ↑ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
56.4%

Alexander Shevchenko
43.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Van Assche's performance.

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Shevchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Luca Van Assche - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shevchenko: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Shevchenko (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Shevchenko will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Shevchenko (votes: 10 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 165. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 97.

Shevchenko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Van Assche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Van Assche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Shevchenko - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Luca Van Assche - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Luca Van Assche - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Learner Tien - Alexander Shevchenko	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Elias Ymer - Alexander Shevchenko	1:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
15.01.26	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Brisbane
31.12.23	Luca Van Assche - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2
ATP Challenger
14.06.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Luca Van Assche	0:2
18.04.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Luca Van Assche	2:0

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