Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Morocco	2M National
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Learner Tien		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.19	4.8	Watch
	1.19	4.71	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.2	4.63	Watch
	1.18	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↑ (1.16)	4.86 ↓ (5.29)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
80.4%

Alexander Shevchenko
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Learner Tien - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Shevchenko will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 2 - 50%). Shevchenko (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5 Games - Tien (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Sets - Tien (2.21) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shevchenko (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

#ad

Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 29. Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 97.

Now, both players are in good form.

Tien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tien is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Learner Tien - Marcos Giron	3:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
06.01.26	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Next Gen Finals
21.12.25	Learner Tien - Alexander Blockx	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Learner Tien - Nishesh Basavareddy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Elias Ymer - Alexander Shevchenko	1:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
15.01.26	Ugo Humbert - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Marton Fucsovics - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Filip Misolic - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches