Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Rafael Jodar		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.34	3.16	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	3.16	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	3.19 ↑ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rafael Jodar
70.5%

Luca Van Assche
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Rafael Jodar - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jodar is ranked ATP: 150. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 165.

Recent performances by Jodar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jodar is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rafael Jodar - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.98%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rafael Jodar
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Chris Rodesch - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Li Tu - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.01.26	Alexander Blockx - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Rafael Jodar	Jacquet K. retired ✺
08.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWL?W
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Luca Van Assche - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Luca Van Assche - Mikhail Kukushkin	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Gauthier Onclin - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

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