Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon (United Kingdom) - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Luca Van Assche		Li Tu

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.35
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.62	2.34
	1.63	2.34
	1.57	2.25
	1.51	2.52	Watch
	1.5	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.36)	2.37 ↓ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
60.4%

Li Tu
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Van Assche's form might have worsened.

Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Li Tu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Luca Van Assche - Li Tu Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Tu will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tu: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Tu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Van Assche will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Van Assche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
18.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
14.06.24	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?LWLW
- Li Tu
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.24	Valentin Royer - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.24	Gabriel Diallo - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
10.06.24	Li Tu - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Li Tu - Hamish Stewart	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Li Tu - Kyle Edmund	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.02.23	Li Tu - Luca Van Assche	1:2

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