Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Raphael Collignon		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.84
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.34)	2.73 ↓ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
65.8%

Luca Van Assche
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Raphael Collignon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 68. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 94.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Van Assche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Collignon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Collignon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Raphael Collignon - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Tommy Paul - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Raphael Collignon - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
03.04.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Luca Van Assche - Raphael Collignon	0:2
13.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0
14.06.24	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0

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