Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANREMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday


	Luca Van Assche		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.6
	1.3	3.2
	1.27	3.95
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.21	4.05	Watch
	1.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.47)	3.66 ↑ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
74.4%

Ryan Peniston
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Van Assche's performance.

Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryan Peniston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Van Assche that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryan Peniston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Luca Van Assche - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: Luca Van Assche will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Van Assche in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Peniston is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Van Assche is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Van Assche to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	Gijs Brouwer - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
27.02.23	Li Tu - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWW
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
20.03.23	Zsombor Piros - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
22.02.23	Harold Mayot - Ryan Peniston	2:0 ✺
21.02.23	Nino Serdarusic - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
14.02.23	Ryan Peniston - Sumit Nagal	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Stefano Travaglia - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Upcoming Matches