Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PAU (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Luca Van Assche		Ugo Humbert

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	2.9	1.41
	2.8	1.37
	3.03	1.4
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.97	1.37	Watch
	3.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
32.2%

Ugo Humbert
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Luca Van Assche - Ugo Humbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Humbert will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Assche is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Humbert in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Humbert could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Humbert will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Humbert to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
04.03.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Luca Van Assche - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
01.03.23	Gijs Brouwer - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
27.02.23	Li Tu - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
20.02.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Ugo Humbert
ATP Challenger
04.03.23	Kaichi Uchida - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Antoine Bellier - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Mathias Bourgue - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Calvin Hemery - Ugo Humbert	1:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
08.02.23	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert	Humbert U. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWW?

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