Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Toulouse-Balma (France), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Lucas Marionneau		Loann Massard

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.29	1.54
	1.96	1.79	Watch
	2	1.73
	2	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.63)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Marionneau
45%

Loann Massard
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Marionneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Marionneau's performance.

Loann Massard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Loann Massard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Marionneau than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Marionneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loann Massard than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Loann Massard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucas Marionneau - Loann Massard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marionneau is ranked ATP: 980. Massard is ranked ATP: 585.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Massard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Massard will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Marionneau
ITF Tournaments
13.03.25	Lucas Marionneau - Hamish Stewart	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Lucas Marionneau - Romain Faucon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Jakub Paul - Lucas Marionneau	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Maxence Beauge - Lucas Marionneau	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Lucas Marionneau - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Loann Massard
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Loann Massard - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Tom Gentzsch - Loann Massard	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.03.25	Tristan Lamasine - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Loann Massard - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Loann Massard - Markus Molder	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW

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