Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Lucas Marionneau		Miguel Damas

	1	2
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.36	2.98	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.37	2.94
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.85)	2.89 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Marionneau
67.7%

Miguel Damas
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Marionneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Marionneau's performance.

Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Marionneau than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Marionneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lucas Marionneau - Miguel Damas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marionneau will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marionneau is ranked ATP: 1041. Damas is ranked ATP: 424.

Recent matches Marionneau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Damas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marionneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Marionneau
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Lucas Marionneau - Calvin Hemery	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Lucas Marionneau - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Daniel Masur - Lucas Marionneau	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.01.25	Filippo Romano - Lucas Marionneau	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Adan Freire Da Silva - Lucas Marionneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWLW
- Miguel Damas
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Clement Tabur - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Arthur Reymond - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.01.25	Michiel De Krom - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Miguel Damas - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Miguel Damas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLW

Lucas Marionneau - Miguel Damas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide