Match Info

Date: 15 April 2021, Thursday


	Lucas Pouille		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.3	1.3
	3.5	1.35
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.58	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.14)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Pouille
28%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21%	0%	79%

Lucas Pouille - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will win (49 of 62 users predict this - 79.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.9% – 89.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Davidovich Fokina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pouille is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.21	Alexei Popyrin - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
13.04.21	Guido Pella - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
ATP Marbella
05.04.21	Lucas Pouille - Richard Berankis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.21	Lucas Pouille - Illya Marchenko	0:2 ✺
17.03.21	Lucas Pouille - Quentin Halys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
12.04.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
ATP Marbella
08.04.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
06.04.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
16.03.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Filip Krajinovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL

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