Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Referee: Lara M. (Fra)


	Lucas Pouille		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.52	2.66
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.38	2.95	Watch
	1.5	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	2.52 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Pouille
62.7%

Constant Lestienne
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Constant Lestienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lucas Pouille - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucas Pouille will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pouille is ranked ATP: 140. Lestienne is ranked ATP: 108.

Pouille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lestienne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lestienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pouille will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pouille won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP Challenger
12.09.24	Lucas Pouille - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
10.09.24	Lucas Pouille - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.24	Lucas Pouille - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	Harold Mayot - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
19.08.24	Jaime Faria - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
11.09.24	Jules Marie - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Robin Bertrand - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Constant Lestienne - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
03.09.24	Constant Lestienne - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Constant Lestienne - Jordan Thompson	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Lucas Pouille - Constant Lestienne	2:1

Lucas Pouille - Constant Lestienne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide