Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Lambours R. (Fra)


	Jules Marie		Constant Lestienne

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.92	1.42
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.76	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.23)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jules Marie
34.1%

Constant Lestienne
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jules Marie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jules Marie's form might have worsened.

Constant Lestienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Constant Lestienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jules Marie, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constant Lestienne than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Constant Lestienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jules Marie - Constant Lestienne Predictions

Users Predictions: Constant Lestienne will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marie is ranked ATP: 294. Lestienne is ranked ATP: 108.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lestienne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marie won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jules Marie
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Daniel Masur - Jules Marie	1:2 ✺
03.09.24	Marco Trungelliti - Jules Marie	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Jules Marie - Adria Soriano Barrera	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Jules Marie - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
28.08.24	Marco Trungelliti - Jules Marie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL
- Constant Lestienne
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Robin Bertrand - Constant Lestienne	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Constant Lestienne - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
03.09.24	Constant Lestienne - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.24	Constant Lestienne - Jordan Thompson	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

Jules Marie - Constant Lestienne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide