Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Roda de Bara, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Lucas Poullain		Alex Martinez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72
			Watch
	2.02	1.73
			Watch
	2	1.73
	1.97	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
46.5%

Alex Martinez
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Alex Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Martinez than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Martinez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucas Poullain - Alex Martinez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 373. Martinez is ranked ATP: 436.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Martinez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Martinez - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Lucas Bouquet	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Daniel Jade	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
10.06.25	Timo Legout - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW
- Alex Martinez Tennis
ITF Tournaments
05.07.25	Alex Martinez - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Alex Martinez - Hugo Car	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Alex Martinez - Tomas Pinho	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Ilia Simakin - Alex Martinez	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Alex Martinez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWW?

Lucas Poullain - Alex Martinez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide