Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H AJACCIO (FRANCE), HARD - FINAL

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday


	Lucas Poullain		Jules Marie

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.64	2.15
	1.59	2.31
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.86)	2.25 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
58.7%

Jules Marie
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Poullain's performance.

Jules Marie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jules Marie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Poullain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jules Marie than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jules Marie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lucas Poullain - Jules Marie Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucas Poullain will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poullain is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Marie is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Poullain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
08.07.23	Dan Added - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
06.07.23	Duarte Vale - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
01.07.23	Henrique Rocha - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
30.06.23	Lucas Poullain - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
29.06.23	Lucas Poullain - Pedro Vives Marcos	Vives Marcos P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLW?
- Jules Marie
ITF Tournaments
08.07.23	Lilian Marmousez - Jules Marie	Marmousez L. retired ✺
07.07.23	Eliakim Coulibaly - Jules Marie	1:2 ✺
06.07.23	Johannes Ingildsen - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
04.07.23	Adan Freire Da Silva - Jules Marie	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.06.23	Jules Marie - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WWWL

Lucas Poullain - Jules Marie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide