Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Dan Added		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.63	2.20
	1.66	2.27
	1.54	2.28	Watch
	1.64	2.20
	1.60	2.20	Watch
	1.58	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)	2.23 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dan Added
58.2%

Lucas Poullain
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dan Added has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dan Added than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dan Added that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dan Added - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Added is ranked ATP: 224. Poullain is ranked ATP: 439.

Added has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Poullain's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Added may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Added won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dan Added
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Dan Added - Kenta Miyoshi	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Dan Added - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Dan Added - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Dan Added - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Dan Added - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Dan Added - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Lucas Poullain - Isaac Becroft	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Vadym Ursu - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Lucas Poullain - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Lucas Poullain - Paul Inchauspe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Dan Added - Lucas Poullain	2:1
ITF Tournaments
06.04.25	Lucas Poullain - Dan Added	1:2
08.07.23	Dan Added - Lucas Poullain	0:2

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