Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Lucas Poullain		Remy Bertola

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.16	1.64	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.15	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.07)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
41.8%

Remy Bertola
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Remy Bertola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remy Bertola than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Remy Bertola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lucas Poullain - Remy Bertola Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Poullain will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bertola will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 334., and Bertola is ranked ATP: 226..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bertola could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bertola is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.53%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Remy Bertola - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.47%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Mark Lajal - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Diogo Morais - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Lucas Poullain - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Moez Echargui - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL
- Remy Bertola
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Alexandre Reco - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Remy Bertola - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Edas Butvilas - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Remy Bertola - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Remy Bertola - Harry Wendelken	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWL

Lucas Poullain - Remy Bertola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide