Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: QUIMPER (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday


	Lucas Poullain		Samuel Vincent Ruggeri

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.9	1.78
	1.93	1.81
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.86	Watch
	1.97	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
48.4%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Lucas Poullain - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri Predictions

Users Predictions: Samuel Vincent Ruggeri will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Preview

Recent matches Poullain is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vincent Ruggeri is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Poullain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Vincent Ruggeri to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
22.01.24	Lucas Poullain - Antoine Hoang	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Lucas Poullain - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Lucas Poullain - Anapat Timangkul	2:0 ✺
08.01.24	Lucas Poullain - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
01.01.24	Lucas Poullain - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
22.01.24	Maxence Beauge - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
19.01.24	Denis Yevseyev - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
18.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
16.01.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
15.01.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

Lucas Poullain - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide