Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Lucas Poullain		Tom Paris

	1	2
			Watch
	1.30	3.10
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.29	3.3	Watch
	1.3	3.25
	1.3	3.21	Watch
	1.29	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.44)	3.2 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
71.2%

Tom Paris
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Poullain's performance.

Tom Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tom Paris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Lucas Poullain - Tom Paris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 322., and Paris is ranked ATP: 676..

In recent outings, Poullain has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Paris could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Poullain is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Poullain has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Lucas Poullain - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64%, but this team recently wins 87% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Lucas Poullain - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
02.10.26	Lucas Poullain - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Lucas Poullain - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Mark Lajal - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Diogo Morais - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWL
- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Tom Paris - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Niels Visker - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Lukas Pokorny - Tom Paris	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Laurent Lokoli - Tom Paris	Lokoli L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain	0:2
06.02.25	Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain	2:0
24.09.23	Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain	1:2

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