Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kosice, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Lukas Pokorny		Tom Paris

	1	2
	1.73	1.99
	1.77	2.09
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.99	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.02)	1.96 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
52.5%

Tom Paris
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Pokorny's performance.

Tom Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tom Paris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Pokorny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tom Paris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lukas Pokorny - Tom Paris Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pokorny will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Paris will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pokorny is ranked ATP: 541. Paris is ranked ATP: 375.

Pokorny has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paris is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Kaan Isik Kosaner - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Lukas Pokorny - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Jannik Opitz - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Christian Djonov - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLW
- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Laurent Lokoli - Tom Paris	Lokoli L. Retired ✺
19.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Yunseong Chung - Tom Paris	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Tom Paris - Ilia Simakin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 L?LWL

Lukas Pokorny - Tom Paris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide