Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Rio Claro, clay - Final

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Lucciana Perez Alarcon		Miriana Tona

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	1.53	2.34
	1.55	2.38
			Watch
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.25)	2.04 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
52.9%

Miriana Tona
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucciana Perez Alarcon's performance.

Miriana Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miriana Tona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucciana Perez Alarcon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miriana Tona than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miriana Tona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Miriana Tona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Perez Alarcon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Perez Alarcon (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Perez Alarcon (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 441. Tona is ranked WTA: 425.

Perez Alarcon is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Perez Alarcon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Tona will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Xiaodi You - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Martina Capurro Taborda	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Katja Markus	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group II
21.06.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Lauren Kettlewell	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Camila Romero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Miriana Tona
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Candela Vazquez - Miriana Tona	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Francesca Mattioli - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca - Miriana Tona	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Dana Guzman - Miriana Tona	1:2 ✺
18.06.25	Jasmijn Gimbrere - Miriana Tona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWL

Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Miriana Tona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide