Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday


	Lucia Bronzetti		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.8	1.4	Watch
	3.02	1.44
	3.21	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.36
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.63)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Bronzetti
31.3%

Jelena Ostapenko
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Lucia Bronzetti - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bronzetti will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bronzetti: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Bronzetti (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lucia Bronzetti will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bronzetti (votes: 8 - 80%). Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 61. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 30.

Bronzetti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ostapenko is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ostapenko is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bronzetti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucia Bronzetti - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Jelena Ostapenko - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.68%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Darya Kasatkina - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Lin Zhu - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
30.07.25	Clara Tauson - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
WTA Hopman Cup
20.07.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Bianca Vanessa Andreescu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. walkover ✺
WTA Montreal
01.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Renata Zarazua - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
25.06.25	Alexandra Eala - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 ?LWL?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
24.05.22	Lucia Bronzetti - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

Lucia Bronzetti - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide