Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Laura Samsonova		Mia Ristic

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.70	2.10	Watch
	1.74	2.23
	1.77	1.98	Watch
	1.72	2.10
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.71	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.86)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Samsonova
54.5%

Mia Ristic
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Mia Ristic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (+5%)

Laura Samsonova - Mia Ristic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 153. Ristic is ranked WTA: 224.

Recent performances by Samsonova have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ristic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ristic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samsonova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Anastasiya Soboleva	Sobolieva A. Retired ✺
28.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Alesia Breaz	2:0 ✺
WTA Prague
21.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Maya Joint	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.26	Gina Feistel - Laura Samsonova	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Laura Pigossi - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?WLLW
- Mia Ristic
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Mia Ristic - Darja Semenistaja	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Mia Ristic - Viola Turini	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Gabriela Ce - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.08.23	Mia Ristic - Laura Samsonova	2:0

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