Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PRAGUE 3 (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday


	Luciano Darderi		Joao Sousa

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.56	2.56
	1.58	2.31	Watch
	1.56	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	2.36 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
60.2%

Joao Sousa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Luciano Darderi - Joao Sousa Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sousa will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Darderi in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sousa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sousa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Darderi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Darderi to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darderi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
23.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Clement Tabur - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
17.08.23	Luciano Darderi - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Joao Sousa
ATP Challenger
23.08.23	Jonas Forejtek - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
22.08.23	Valentin Royer - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
06.08.23	Joao Sousa - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
05.08.23	Jules Marie - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
04.08.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
12.09.20	Luciano Darderi - Joao Sousa	1:2

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