Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: GAIBA (ITALY), GRASS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 June 2023, Friday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Ashlyn Krueger

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.95	1.38
	3.08	1.38
	3	1.36
	2.84	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.35)	1.38 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
31.4%

Ashlyn Krueger
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucrezia Stefanini's form might have worsened.

Ashlyn Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ashlyn Krueger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashlyn Krueger than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ashlyn Krueger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Lucrezia Stefanini - Ashlyn Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: Ashlyn Krueger will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Stefanini is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krueger is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stefanini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Krueger is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Krueger to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
22.06.23	Lucrezia Stefanini - Evgeniya Rodina	2:0 ✺
20.06.23	Lucrezia Stefanini - Magali Kempen	2:1 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
13.06.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
23.05.23	Lucrezia Stefanini - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Lucrezia Stefanini - Priscilla Hon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL
- Ashlyn Krueger
ATP Challenger
22.06.23	Ashlyn Krueger - Katie Swan	Swan K. retired ✺
20.06.23	Ashlyn Krueger - Dalila Jakupovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
16.06.23	Ashlyn Krueger - Viktoria Hruncakova	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Victoria Azarenka - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
13.06.23	Rebecca Peterson - Ashlyn Krueger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 ?WLWW

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