Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Porto 2 (Portugal), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Louisa Chirico

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65
	1.43	2.73
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.4)	2.66 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
65.1%

Louisa Chirico
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Louisa Chirico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisa Chirico than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Lucrezia Stefanini - Louisa Chirico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stefanini is ranked WTA: 145. Chirico is ranked WTA: 170.

Stefanini is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Chirico is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chirico could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Stefanini will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stefanini won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	1:2 ✺
27.02.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Margaux Rouvroy	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Julie Belgraver	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Louisa Chirico
ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Mona Barthel - Louisa Chirico	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Taylah Preston - Louisa Chirico	0:2 ✺
WTA Austin
23.02.25	Kaja Juvan - Louisa Chirico	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.02.25	Katarzyna Kawa - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Louisa Chirico - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.04.22	Lucrezia Stefanini - Louisa Chirico	0:2
23.04.22	Louisa Chirico - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0

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