Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara (Mexico), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 September 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Marie Bouzkova

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.75	1.18
	4.6	1.19	Watch
	5.77	1.17
	5.29	1.17	Watch
	4.5	1.2
	4.54	1.21	Watch
	4.6	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (3.31)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
19.8%

Marie Bouzkova
80.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucrezia Stefanini's form might have worsened.

Marie Bouzkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marie Bouzkova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Bouzkova than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marie Bouzkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Lucrezia Stefanini - Marie Bouzkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Stefanini will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Bouzkova will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bouzkova: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stefanini is ranked WTA: 178. Bouzkova is ranked WTA: 45.

Stefanini is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bouzkova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stefanini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bouzkova is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Guadalajara
10.09.24	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
08.09.24	Sachia Vickery - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Valeria Savinykh - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Olivia Gadecki	1:2 ✺
03.09.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Sachia Vickery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- Marie Bouzkova
WTA Guadalajara
10.09.24	Alexandra Eala - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
29.08.24	Marie Bouzkova - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Eva Lys - Marie Bouzkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.24	Marie Bouzkova - Magdalena Frech	1:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
07.08.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Marie Bouzkova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

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