Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Cary, NC, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Kristina Liutova		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
	1.25	3.40
	1.25	3.55
	1.25	4.07
	1.24	3.64	Watch
	1.23	4
	1.25	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.39)	3.71 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristina Liutova
74.8%

Lucrezia Stefanini
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristina Liutova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristina Liutova's performance.

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucrezia Stefanini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristina Liutova than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristina Liutova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucrezia Stefanini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kristina Liutova - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Liutova is ranked WTA: 235. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 163.

Liutova has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Stefanini has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stefanini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Liutova is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristina Liutova
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Kristina Liutova - Sofia Johnson	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Kristina Liutova - Malaika Rapolu	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Kristina Liutova - Reese Brantmeier	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Whitney Osuigwe - Kristina Liutova	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Eryn Cayetano - Kristina Liutova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- Lucrezia Stefanini
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Haruka Kaji - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Yuki Naito - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Luisina Giovannini - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Yeon Woo Ku - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWL

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