Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.89	1.92	Watch
	1.95	1.95
	1.88	1.92	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.89	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.05)	1.92 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
50.4%

Jasmine Paolini
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	0%	29.2%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Paolini will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 25. Paolini is ranked WTA: 6.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Caty McNally - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Iva Jovic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
19.02.25	Sofia Kenin - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Eva Lys - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Zhengzhou
08.10.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jasmine Paolini	Canceled
WTA Australian Open
17.01.23	Jasmine Paolini - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2
WTA St Petersburg
26.01.19	Jasmine Paolini - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:1

Ludmilla Samsonova - Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide