Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2.22	1.69
	1.88	1.9	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.73)	1.86 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
49%

Jelena Ostapenko
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ludmilla Samsonova's form might have worsened.

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jelena Ostapenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ludmilla Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 23. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 37.

Two players are playing changeable.

Ostapenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Doha
09.02.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
03.02.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Polina Kudermetova - Ludmilla Samsonova	Canceled ✺
WTA Australian Open
14.01.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Olga Danilovic	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Kamilla Rakhimova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WL?LW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Doha
10.02.25	Aoi Ito - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
04.02.25	Ons Jabeur - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
12.01.25	Belinda Bencic - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
08.01.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
06.01.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Magdalena Frech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Beijing
06.10.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2
WTA Madrid
29.04.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA Luxembourg
18.09.21	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2
WTA Australian Open
20.01.20	Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

Ludmilla Samsonova - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide