Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo António 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday


	Lui Maxted		Liam Broady

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.98	1.4
	2.33	1.52	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.29)	1.4 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
33.4%

Liam Broady
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lui Maxted's form might have worsened.

Liam Broady has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liam Broady's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lui Maxted, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liam Broady, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lui Maxted - Liam Broady Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 451. Broady is ranked ATP: 282.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Maxted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Broady will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Lui Maxted - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Anton Matusevich - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Alessandro Coccioli - Lui Maxted	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Charles Broom - Lui Maxted	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	James Story - Lui Maxted	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Liam Broady
ITF Tournaments
14.02.26	Max Basing - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Joao Domingues - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	Diego Fernandez Flores - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Denis Yevseyev - Liam Broady	Yevseyev D. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWW?

Lui Maxted - Liam Broady: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide