Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Luis Guto Miguel		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.15	1.78
	2.12	1.66	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Guto Miguel
45.5%

Hernan Casanova
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Guto Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Guto Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luis Guto Miguel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hernan Casanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Luis Guto Miguel - Hernan Casanova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Casanova will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Miguel is ranked ATP: 1036. Casanova is ranked ATP: 420.

Miguel is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Casanova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Miguel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Miguel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Guto Miguel
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Luis Guto Miguel	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Franco Ribero - Luis Guto Miguel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
08.05.26	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Hernan Casanova - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Hernan Casanova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Hernan Casanova - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Hernan Casanova - Luis Guto Miguel	2:0

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