Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday


	Luka Mikrut		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.43	2.75
	1.46	2.91
	1.43	2.61	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)	2.69 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Mikrut
65.3%

Marvin Moeller
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Mikrut's performance.

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marvin Moeller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Luka Mikrut - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mikrut will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Moeller will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mikrut is ranked ATP: 195. Moeller is ranked ATP: 401.

In recent matches, Mikrut has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moeller is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mikrut is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mikrut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Marvin Moeller - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Jan Choinski - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Luka Mikrut - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Luka Mikrut - Kilian Feldbausch	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Nerman Fatic - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Luka Mikrut - Chris Rodesch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WW?LL
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Michael Vrbensky - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.05.26	Mika Petkovic - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.06.23	Luka Mikrut - Marvin Moeller	2:1

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