Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday


	Luka Pavlovic		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.86)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Pavlovic
43.9%

Marek Gengel
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luka Pavlovic's form might have worsened.

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marek Gengel's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luka Pavlovic - Marek Gengel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pavlovic will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Gengel will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gengel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 218. Gengel is ranked ATP: 336.

Gengel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gengel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gengel might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Gengel will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Luka Pavlovic - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.5%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Marek Gengel - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.5%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Luka Pavlovic - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Luka Pavlovic - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Luka Pavlovic - Jan Choinski	Canceled ✺
16.10.25	Luka Pavlovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LL?LW
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Marek Gengel - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Marek Gengel - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Marek Gengel - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Marek Gengel - Renta Tokuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

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