Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon 2, hard

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Luka Pavlovic		Jan Choinski

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Luka Pavlovic
28.2%

Jan Choinski
71.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Choinski Jan - withdrawn.

Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 210. Choinski is ranked ATP: 126.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Choinski is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
16.10.25	Luka Pavlovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Alexis Galarneau - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
08.10.25	Luka Pavlovic - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Vit Kopriva - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWL
- Jan Choinski
ATP Metz
03.11.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Jan Choinski - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	Mayot H. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Jan Choinski - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Jan Choinski - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LW?LW

Luka Pavlovic - Jan Choinski