Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday


	Rio Noguchi		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
56%

Marek Gengel
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Marek Gengel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Rio Noguchi aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Marek Gengel aligns with the current prediction.

Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 246. Gengel is ranked ATP: 351.

Noguchi has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gengel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gengel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Noguchi will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.33%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal	Noguchi R. retired ✺
12.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Marek Gengel - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Rio Noguchi - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Marat Sharipov - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 ?WWWW
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Marek Gengel - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Marek Gengel - Renta Tokuda	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Marek Gengel - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Sergey Fomin - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Marek Gengel - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Marek Gengel - Rio Noguchi	0:2
27.02.23	Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel	2:1
01.11.22	Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel	0:2

Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide