Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Lukas Neumayer		Felix Gill

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.72	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)	2.06 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
54.9%

Felix Gill
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Felix Gill has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Gill could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lukas Neumayer - Felix Gill Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 224. Gill is ranked ATP: 242.

Neumayer is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gill's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Neumayer will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neumayer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Felix Gill - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.47%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
04.04.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Lukas Neumayer - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Felix Gill
ATP Challenger
04.04.26	Felix Gill - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Marco Cecchinato - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Felix Gill - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Mili Poljicak - Felix Gill	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Martin Krumich - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW

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