Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Lukas Neumayer		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	2.19	1.73
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.8)	1.71 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
45.3%

Toby Samuel
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lukas Neumayer's form might have worsened.

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Lukas Neumayer - Toby Samuel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 224. Samuel is ranked ATP: 172.

Neumayer is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samuel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Neumayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.22%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Sumit Nagal - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Stefan Dostanic - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Robin Bertrand - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

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