Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Lukas Neumayer		Gianmarco Ferrari

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.71	2.1
	1.67	2.1
	1.59	2.25	Watch
	1.63	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.76)	2.15 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
56.7%

Gianmarco Ferrari
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Lukas Neumayer - Gianmarco Ferrari Predictions

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Antoine Hoang - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.02.23	Alex Barrena - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.01.23	Marco Trungelliti - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
16.01.23	Viktor Durasovic - Lukas Neumayer	Durasovic V. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLL?
- Gianmarco Ferrari
ATP Challenger
05.03.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
22.02.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
06.02.23	Daniel Masur - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Zura Tkemaladze - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW

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