Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Lukas Neumayer		Jacopo Vasami

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.51	2.61
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.44	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	2.63 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
64.5%

Jacopo Vasami
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Neumayer's performance.

Jacopo Vasami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacopo Vasami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacopo Vasami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lukas Neumayer - Jacopo Vasami Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Vasami will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 227. Vasami is ranked ATP: 629.

Recent performances by Neumayer have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vasami is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vasami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Neumayer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ITF Tournaments
27.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
26.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Tiago Cacao	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Lukas Neumayer - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Lukas Neumayer - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Lukas Neumayer - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWWLL
- Jacopo Vasami
ITF Tournaments
22.02.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Jacopo Vasami - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Jacopo Vasami - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Marek Gengel - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Jacopo Vasami - Gregor Hausberger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW

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