Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Lukas Neumayer		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	3.13	1.38
	2.88	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.99	1.34	Watch
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (4.2)	1.38 ↑ (1.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
32.4%

Jacob Fearnley
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

77.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Neumayer's performance.

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacob Fearnley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Lukas Neumayer - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Fearnley will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Fearnley (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 226. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 77.

Neumayer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fearnley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neumayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fearnley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Lukas Neumayer - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Lukas Neumayer - Michael Bassem Sobhy	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Lukas Neumayer - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Brandon Holt - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

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