Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Lukas Neumayer		Raul Brancaccio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.51	2.5
	1.48	2.53	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.63	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.85)	2.57 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
63.8%

Raul Brancaccio
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Neumayer's performance.

Raul Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raul Brancaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raul Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raul Brancaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lukas Neumayer - Raul Brancaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 270. Brancaccio is ranked ATP: 411.

Neumayer is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brancaccio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brancaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Neumayer will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neumayer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Raul Brancaccio - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Lukas Neumayer - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Henrique Rocha - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Eriksson	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Lukas Neumayer - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWW
- Raul Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
29.09.24	Raul Brancaccio - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Daniel Rincon - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Raul Brancaccio - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
10.09.24	Raul Brancaccio - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Lukas Neumayer - Raul Brancaccio	1:2

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