Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona (Spain), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Girona (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Henrique Rocha		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.21	1.64
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.35	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
39.8%

Lukas Neumayer
60.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Henrique Rocha - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Neumayer will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 161. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 209.

Two players are playing changeable.

Rocha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Neumayer will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rocha won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.67%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
18.03.25	Marton Fucsovics - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Henrique Rocha - Pedro Cachin	Rocha H. retired ✺
08.02.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
07.02.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	Edas Butvilas - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 L?LWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Sandro Kopp	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Henrique Rocha - Lukas Neumayer	0:2

Henrique Rocha - Lukas Neumayer